Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 9.142531 10.592747 12.149286 13.938525 15.932581 18.080737 20.563894
2025-06-15 7.335603 9.225826 11.384023 14.011139 17.102232 20.603011 24.845773
2025-06-22 6.018491 8.127561 10.666138 13.906956 17.891471 22.586259 28.488448
2025-06-29 5.162211 7.423543 10.273451 14.062234 18.894290 24.774984 32.389125
2025-07-06 4.503644 6.861112 9.958547 14.227335 19.848312 26.881774 36.218357
2025-07-13 4.067215 6.526213 9.878909 14.647032 21.100292 29.367516 40.573420
2025-07-20 3.660224 6.173568 9.723155 14.921968 22.138626 31.584295 44.630939
2025-07-27 3.233540 5.735181 9.394481 14.910997 22.758865 33.243886 47.987116
2025-08-03 2.717955 5.095031 8.707492 14.324369 22.524719 33.718120 49.750790
2025-08-10 2.369192 4.674379 8.301987 14.101407 22.765128 34.815642 52.355400
2025-08-17 2.045999 4.254113 7.854050 13.771183 22.813352 35.623299 54.560426
2025-08-24 1.797167 3.929766 7.525301 13.590632 23.055441 36.691367 57.136034
2025-08-31 1.545521 3.569739 7.107906 13.242806 23.028281 37.373863 59.196986
2025-09-07 1.399740 3.388994 6.974380 13.336147 23.669606 39.036980 62.693118
2025-09-14 1.242554 3.164218 6.742256 13.245966 24.010643 40.256397 65.568844
2025-09-21 1.137757 3.031643 6.661226 13.399580 24.736265 42.063291 69.341309
2025-09-28 1.044588 2.910762 6.589575 13.560259 25.472640 43.900093 73.195845
2025-10-05 0.989842 2.866855 6.657389 13.964976 26.618073 46.388896 78.076711
2025-10-12 0.923462 2.787423 6.649072 14.229982 27.536941 48.546718 82.503399
2025-10-19 0.834050 2.640884 6.495447 14.219564 27.987756 49.979646 85.856035
2025-10-26 0.701479 2.366732 6.058275 13.654942 27.464863 49.851300 86.803345
2025-11-02 0.615817 2.196283 5.817724 13.440392 27.528712 50.649478 89.187934
2025-11-09 0.531893 2.014659 5.534658 13.122648 27.391573 51.110104 91.045380